Brookz Takeover Barometer H1-2023: Takeover market rebounds

Published: August 28, 2023

The Dutch takeover market has returned to cautious growth. In the first half of 2023, the number of sales transactions increased by 13%. The average selling price of an SME business remained almost the same at 4.65 times gross profit.

This is one of the results of the Takeover Barometer, the periodic research of takeover platforms Brookz and Dealsuite on figures and trends in the Dutch takeover market. The survey was conducted among 274 Dutch merger & acquisition advisory firms focusing on businesses with revenues between 0.5 and 30 million euros.

New reality

Now that the new reality of higher interest rates and rising inflation has slowly set in, we are seeing increased activity in the Dutch acquisition market for SME businesses again over the past six months. Compared to H2-2022, the number of sales transactions increased by 13%, with especially more smaller businesses (deal value <2.5 mln euro) and large businesses (deal value >10 mln euro) being sold.

In contrast, the share of transactions of businesses with a deal value between 2.5 - 10 mln euro fell from 30% to 24%. Average sales prices remained almost the same over the past 6 months: on average, 4.65 times the gross profit was paid for an SME business.

Banks cautious

Rising interest rates did have a negative impact on the availability of bank financing over the past 6 months. Compared to H2-2022, the share of takeover transactions financed by a bank has now fallen from 51% to 43%.

According to Peter Rikhof, managing director of Brookz, the latter is a particularly worrisome development. 'Entrepreneurs and investors do seem to have adapted to the changing circumstances by now. And there is still plenty of money available from investors and strategic buyers. But in order to achieve a successful transaction, bank input is still an important part of the financing mix in most acquisitions.'

Outlook

In line with the recovering acquisition market, the pipeline at advisory firms is also well filled and the outlook for the second half of 2023 is moderately positive. Nearly 90% of advisers surveyed indicated that the number of assignments in their portfolios remained the same or increased. Only 11% of advisers saw a decrease in the number of assignments.

In addition, a large majority of advisers surveyed (71%) are optimistic about the prospects for the next 6 months with a 7.1 rating.

EBITDA Multiples by Sector — H1 2023

Sector Multiple H1-2023 Adjustment compared to H2-2022
Software development 6,8 +0,1
IT Services 6,5
Healthcare & Pharmacy 6,2
Agri & Food 5,5
Wholesale 5,3 −0,1
E-commerce & Online Stores 5,1 −0,2
Industry & Manufacturing 4,9 −0,1
Business services 4,9
Media, Advertising & Communications 4,1 −0,1
Construction & Installation Engineering 3,9
Automotive, Transportation & Logistics 3,7
Hospitality, Tourism & Recreation 2,9
Retail 2,6 −0,2
Average 4,65 −0,05

Survey date: end of H1-2023. Adjustment is relative to the multiple from the H2-2022 Barometer. Average as stated in the report—the fourth consecutive half-yearly decline since the peak of 4.95. Source: Brookz Takeover Barometer H1-2023 (Issue 18).

Summary

  1. Purchase (+8%) and sale transactions (+13%) grew again compared to H2-2022, following the slowdown in 2022 caused by inflation and rising interest rates.
  2. The average EBITDA multiple continued to decline, albeit at a slower pace: from 4.7 to 4.65—the fourth consecutive half-yearly decline since the peak of 4.95.
  3. Software development was the only sector with a rising multiple (from 6.7 to 6.8) and remains the highest-valued sector; Retail and E-commerce & Webshops saw the largest declines (both −0.2).
  4. The share of deals with a value under €2.5 million rose further to 63%; the average share of bank financing in a transaction fell from 51% to 43% within six months.
  5. For the first time, the use of AI among M&A advisers was surveyed: only 7% use AI regularly, but 63% expect that AI will have a significant impact or be indispensable in five years.
  6. Dutch multiples remain significantly lower than in neighboring countries: 4.65 on average, compared to 5.5 in the DACH region, 5.3 in France, and 5.1 in the UK/Ireland.
  7. The average number of interested buyers per company listed for sale fell sharply, from 7.7 to 5.9—buyer interest declined across all sectors.
  8. Sentiment improved: the rating for H1-2023 came in at 6.9 (slightly above the expected 6.8), with a forecast of 7.1 for H2-2023; 71% of advisers are optimistic about the coming six months.
Brookz Takeover Barometer H1-2023
Brookz Takeover Barometer H1-2023

Read the Brookz Takeover Barometer covering the first half of 2023, Brookz study of trends and developments in the SME acquisition market.

Register
OR
Login