Brookz Takeover Barometer H1-2021: Takeover market finally recovered

Published: February 11, 2022, Peter Rikhof

In the first half of 2021, the Dutch takeover market has definitely recovered. The number of sales transactions increased by 21 percent. This puts the takeover market back at the level it was before the corona crisis.

This is one of the main findings of the Takeover Barometer, the periodic research by takeover platforms Brookz and Dealsuite on figures and trends in the Dutch takeover market. The survey was conducted among 268 Dutch merger & acquisition advisory firms focusing on businesses with revenues between 0.5 and 30 million euros.

Sector differences

As in the second half of 2020, there are major differences between sectors, though. In particular, more businesses were sold over the past 6 months in the E-commerce and Media, Advertising & Communications and Automotive, Transport & Logistics sectors. The least transactions took place in the Hospitality, Tourism and Recreation sector. In fact, the share of business sales in the Hospitality, Tourism and Recreation sector fell by 70 percent. In addition, more larger businesses were sold again in the past 6 months: the share of transactions with a deal value above €10 million rose from 9% to 11%.

K-shaped recovery

The average price paid for an SME business in the first half of 2021 was 4.85 times gross profit, the same as in the second half of the 2020. However, this is another K-shaped recovery. Average Ebitda multiples for businesses in the IT Services & Software Development (6.55), Healthcare & Pharmaceuticals (6.3), Agri & Food (5.65) and E-commerce (5.65) sectors went up slightly. For businesses in the Hospitality, Tourism & Recreation (3.2) and Retail (2.95) sectors, average prices paid were lower than in the second half of 2020.

Sustainability increasingly important

This edition of the Takeover Barometer was the first to examine the impact of ESG on the valuation of SME businesses. ESG stands for Environmental, Social and Governance and refers to the three central factors in measuring the sustainability of a business.

According to Floyd Plettenberg, partner at Brookz and Dealsuite, sustainability issues are increasingly being considered when buying a business: "Consumers are increasingly buying from businesses that value sustainability. In the business acquisition market, interest in sustainable businesses is therefore also increasing. The inclusion of ESG factors in the investment decision will therefore become standard in the coming years." According to the participating advisers, ESG is already a formal subject of the investment decision in 32% of cases; Already it weighs heavily or even decisively in only 3% of cases. An overwhelming majority of all advisers (86%) expect the impact of ESG on the business value of SMEs to increase in the future.

Outlook

The outlook for acquisition market in the second half of 2021 is downright positive. A majority of all advisers (60%) think the takeover market will continue to pick up or at least remain stable (37%) over the next 6 months. Only 3% of all advisers think the market will deteriorate in the next 6 months. Advisers rate the market for the next 6 months at 7.7, up from 7.1 six months ago.

EBITDA Multiples by Sector — H1 2021

Sector Multiple H1-2021 Adjustment compared to H2-2020
IT services & Software development 6,55 +0,05
Healthcare & Pharmacy 6,3 +0,05
Agri & Food 5,65 +0,05
E-commerce 5,65 +0,1
Wholesale 5,5 —
Industry & Manufacturing 5,35 +0,1
Business services 4,95 +0,05
Media, Advertising & Communications 4,4 —
Construction & Installation Engineering 4,05 +0,1
Automotive, Transportation & Logistics 3,6 —
Hospitality, Tourism & Recreation 3,2 −0,15
Retail 2,95 −0,1
Average 4,85 —

Survey date: end of H1-2021. Adjustment is relative to the multiple from the H2-2020 Barometer. Average as stated in the report. Source: Brookz Takeover Barometer H1-2021 (September 2021).

Summary

  1. Acquisition transactions rose 36% (to 240) and sale transactions rose 21% (to 445) compared to H2-2020 — the average number of transactions per adviser has thus returned to pre-COVID-19 crisis levels.
  2. The Automotive, Transportation & Logistics sector doubled its share from 7% to 14% of all transactions, while the Hospitality, Tourism & Recreation sector declined further from 7% to 2%.
  3. The K-shaped recovery continued: Hospitality, Tourism & Recreation (multiple 3.2) and Retail (2.95) declined further, while virtually all other sectors recorded a slight increase.
  4. The valuation gap based on business size rose to 18% between businesses with EBITDA of €250,000 and €5 million—higher than the 14% recorded in H1-2019, primarily favoring businesses with EBITDA above €2 million.
  5. For the first time, a “control premium” was measured: in 71% of the transactions, controlling interest was transferred to the buyer, who paid an average of 12% more for it than for a minority stake.
  6. For 32% of advisers, ESG is already a formal part of the investment decision; 86% expect ESG performance to influence the valuation of small and medium-sized businesses, although only 15% are currently seeing that effect in practice.
  7. The share of deals valued at over €10 million rose to 11% (+2 percentage points compared to H2-2020); half of the deals (52%) had a value of less than €2.5 million.
  8. Sentiment exceeded expectations: the rating for H1-2021 came in at 7.4 (above the expected 7.1), with a forecast of 7.7 for H2-2021.
Brookz Takeover Barometers H1-2021

Read the Brookz Takeover Barometer on the first half year of 2021, Brookz 's research on trends and developments in the SME takeover market.

Register
OR
Login